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Prediction

Using clues in the text to explain what might happen next, supported by evidence from the passage.

1

What is Prediction?

Prediction questions ask you to say what you think might happen next in the story or passage. The key is that your prediction must be supported by evidence from the text – it is not just a guess.

2

Step-by-Step Method

1

Read the passage carefully, especially the ending

The last few paragraphs usually contain the strongest clues for prediction.

2

Look for clues

Character behaviour, unresolved problems, hints from the writer, and the overall direction of the story.

3

Make a prediction

State clearly what you think will happen next.

4

Support with evidence

Use the structure: “I think… because the text says…”.

5

Explain your reasoning

Show how the evidence leads logically to your prediction.

3

Worked Examples

Example 1

A passage ends: “Tom gripped the door handle. His heart was pounding. He could hear footsteps on the other side.” What might happen next?

Working

  1. Clues: gripping the handle (about to open), heart pounding (nervous/scared), footsteps (someone is there).
  2. Prediction: Tom will open the door and come face to face with whoever is on the other side.
Answer: I think Tom will open the door and discover who is making the footsteps. The text says his heart was pounding, suggesting he is frightened, so it might be someone unexpected or threatening.
Example 2

A character has been described as kind throughout the passage. Another character drops their shopping. What might happen?

Working

  1. Evidence: the character is consistently kind.
  2. Prediction: they will help pick up the shopping.
Answer: Based on the character being described as kind throughout, I predict they will stop to help the other person pick up their shopping.
Example 3

The sky has been described as darkening throughout the passage, and the characters are on a hillside. What might happen?

Working

  1. Evidence: darkening sky = storm approaching, hillside = exposed and dangerous.
  2. Prediction: a storm is likely to break.
Answer: I think a storm is about to break. The darkening sky throughout the passage has been building towards bad weather, and the characters being on a hillside makes them vulnerable.
4

Common Mistakes

Common error

Making a wild guess with no connection to the text.

Correct approach

Your prediction MUST be supported by evidence from the passage.

Common error

Not referring back to the passage at all.

Correct approach

Always include a quote or reference: “because the text says…” or “this is suggested by…”.

Common error

Being too vague (e.g. “something bad will happen”).

Correct approach

Be specific about what you think will happen and why.

5

Top Tips

  • Use the structure: “I think [prediction] because [evidence from text].”
  • Look at how the writer has built up the atmosphere – it usually points towards what happens next.
  • Characters usually act consistently. If a character has been brave throughout, they are likely to be brave again.
  • Pay attention to any problems that have not been resolved – they are likely to be dealt with next.

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